| Day |
Actual |
Projected |
Time |
Avg Temp |
WetBulb |
Precip |
Cloud |
Sunset |
4CP Prob |
P(>=today) |
| 1 |
83,702 |
84,475 |
16:15 |
96.2°F |
76.5°F |
1.0 |
38% |
19:43 |
0%
|
100% |
| 2 |
86,321 |
85,324 |
16:45 |
98.8°F |
80.0°F |
0.7 |
35% |
19:42 |
2%
|
100% |
| 3 |
81,802 |
81,437 |
16:45 |
95.5°F |
78.0°F |
8.5 |
57% |
19:41 |
0%
|
96% |
| 4 |
84,923 |
85,229 |
16:45 |
94.6°F |
77.8°F |
2.9 |
41% |
19:39 |
1%
|
94% |
| 5 |
84,506 |
84,717 |
16:30 |
96.5°F |
77.7°F |
1.0 |
48% |
19:38 |
0%
|
94% |
| 6 |
82,516 |
82,954 |
17:15 |
94.4°F |
77.5°F |
4.0 |
36% |
19:37 |
0%
|
94% |
| 7 |
86,486 |
86,392 |
16:45 |
96.8°F |
77.8°F |
0.2 |
16% |
19:36 |
8%
|
97% |
| 8 |
86,265 |
87,801 |
14:45 |
97.4°F |
77.6°F |
0.9 |
38% |
19:35 |
32%
|
99% |
| 9 |
85,851 |
86,708 |
16:00 |
95.6°F |
77.6°F |
3.5 |
58% |
19:33 |
11%
|
97% |
| 10 |
84,743 |
84,964 |
15:45 |
94.2°F |
76.8°F |
1.8 |
59% |
19:32 |
0%
|
93% |
| 11 |
85,491 |
86,834 |
15:30 |
95.2°F |
78.0°F |
6.5 |
55% |
19:31 |
16%
|
96% |
| 12 |
86,224 |
87,863 |
16:45 |
97.9°F |
78.7°F |
0.5 |
46% |
19:30 |
39%
|
99% |
| 13 |
86,121 |
86,095 |
16:30 |
97.5°F |
80.5°F |
0.8 |
28% |
19:28 |
9%
|
90% |
| 14 |
85,825 |
87,274 |
15:45 |
96.3°F |
77.6°F |
1.6 |
28% |
19:27 |
35%
|
97% |
| 15 |
85,732 |
87,135 |
14:30 |
97.8°F |
77.6°F |
1.2 |
32% |
19:26 |
41%
|
92% |
| 16 |
86,355 |
86,613 |
17:00 |
96.2°F |
76.3°F |
0.7 |
35% |
19:25 |
28%
|
80% |
| 17 |
82,761 |
83,235 |
17:00 |
94.1°F |
76.9°F |
2.1 |
67% |
19:23 |
0%
|
50% |
| 18 |
82,730 |
83,352 |
16:30 |
93.4°F |
76.0°F |
1.1 |
48% |
19:22 |
0%
|
45% |
| 19 |
82,601 |
83,450 |
16:30 |
93.5°F |
75.5°F |
0.6 |
44% |
19:21 |
0%
|
41% |
| 20 |
83,374 |
83,682 |
16:15 |
94.6°F |
75.8°F |
1.6 |
57% |
19:20 |
0%
|
32% |
| 21 |
86,093 |
86,625 |
16:00 |
94.8°F |
76.6°F |
1.9 |
34% |
19:19 |
45%
|
69% |
| 22 |
85,877 |
87,068 |
16:00 |
93.4°F |
75.8°F |
1.4 |
31% |
19:17 |
65%
|
82% |
| 23 |
84,906 |
86,164 |
15:45 |
93.4°F |
76.2°F |
4.4 |
74% |
19:16 |
32%
|
42% |
| 24 |
83,497 |
83,732 |
16:30 |
92.2°F |
75.3°F |
0.7 |
86% |
19:15 |
0%
|
0% |
| 25 |
81,451 |
82,037 |
16:30 |
91.6°F |
74.0°F |
1.3 |
59% |
19:14 |
0%
|
0% |
| 26 |
78,346 |
79,435 |
16:45 |
91.5°F |
74.5°F |
1.4 |
60% |
19:12 |
0%
|
0% |
| 27 |
81,744 |
82,816 |
17:15 |
94.3°F |
75.1°F |
0.3 |
84% |
19:11 |
0%
|
0% |
| 28 |
82,727 |
83,395 |
17:15 |
93.2°F |
75.5°F |
1.1 |
35% |
19:10 |
0%
|
0% |
| 29 |
80,915 |
81,265 |
16:30 |
92.2°F |
75.5°F |
3.0 |
59% |
19:09 |
0%
|
0% |
| 30 |
77,990 |
78,064 |
15:30 |
90.8°F |
76.9°F |
5.4 |
72% |
19:07 |
0%
|
0% |
4CP Alerts Test Mode (daily SHUTDOWN/RESTART):
OFF
more tests
Weighted using same CITY_WEIGHTS as temperature (DFW/Houston/Austin etc.).
High wet bulb, low precip, low cloud = higher likelihood of high peak load.
Prob from MC model including these + temp + forecast.
On cloudy/rainy days the peak typically lands 20-40 min earlier.
Highest Actual, Projected, Avg Temp, and WetBulb highlighted in red.
Wetbulb/Precip/Cloud use same weights as temperature.