| Day |
Actual |
Projected |
Time |
Avg Temp |
WetBulb |
Precip |
Cloud |
Sunset |
4CP Prob |
P(>=today) |
| 1 |
72,199 |
— |
15:45 |
87.5°F |
75.8°F |
4.7 |
46% |
19:43 |
0%
|
100% |
| 2 |
76,094 |
— |
16:30 |
90.7°F |
74.9°F |
0.8 |
47% |
19:42 |
0%
|
100% |
| 3 |
75,993 |
— |
16:45 |
92.4°F |
73.9°F |
0.0 |
16% |
19:41 |
0%
|
100% |
| 4 |
79,925 |
— |
17:30 |
96.8°F |
75.1°F |
0.0 |
27% |
19:39 |
15%
|
100% |
| 5 |
79,238 |
— |
16:30 |
94.0°F |
75.7°F |
0.6 |
79% |
19:38 |
1%
|
100% |
| 6 |
65,900 |
— |
17:00 |
85.3°F |
73.8°F |
6.6 |
50% |
19:37 |
0%
|
100% |
| 7 |
62,366 |
— |
17:30 |
82.6°F |
72.9°F |
12.1 |
67% |
19:36 |
0%
|
100% |
| 8 |
70,303 |
— |
17:15 |
84.4°F |
70.6°F |
1.1 |
18% |
19:35 |
0%
|
100% |
| 9 |
72,576 |
— |
16:45 |
87.3°F |
70.7°F |
0.7 |
11% |
19:33 |
0%
|
100% |
| 10 |
76,764 |
— |
16:45 |
90.9°F |
72.5°F |
0.6 |
6% |
19:32 |
0%
|
100% |
| 11 |
78,152 |
— |
16:45 |
91.4°F |
74.3°F |
0.6 |
10% |
19:31 |
0%
|
100% |
| 12 |
78,568 |
— |
17:00 |
92.1°F |
74.5°F |
0.5 |
25% |
19:30 |
0%
|
99% |
| 13 |
76,225 |
— |
16:45 |
91.5°F |
73.4°F |
0.5 |
52% |
19:28 |
0%
|
98% |
| 14 |
75,735 |
— |
16:30 |
91.5°F |
73.3°F |
0.7 |
59% |
19:27 |
0%
|
98% |
| 15 |
78,286 |
— |
16:30 |
90.6°F |
73.2°F |
0.5 |
24% |
19:26 |
0%
|
95% |
| 16 |
78,235 |
— |
16:45 |
91.3°F |
72.0°F |
0.1 |
28% |
19:25 |
0%
|
96% |
| 17 |
78,000 |
— |
16:00 |
91.4°F |
72.0°F |
0.7 |
53% |
19:23 |
0%
|
98% |
| 18 |
77,055 |
— |
15:45 |
90.7°F |
73.0°F |
2.5 |
55% |
19:22 |
0%
|
97% |
| 19 |
78,018 |
— |
16:15 |
89.3°F |
73.2°F |
3.7 |
37% |
19:21 |
0%
|
96% |
| 20 |
76,034 |
— |
16:45 |
91.0°F |
73.8°F |
1.1 |
64% |
19:20 |
0%
|
95% |
| 21 |
76,829 |
— |
16:30 |
90.2°F |
75.4°F |
4.2 |
34% |
19:18 |
0%
|
93% |
| 22 |
79,343 |
— |
16:45 |
91.8°F |
76.9°F |
7.7 |
37% |
19:17 |
0%
|
92% |
| 23 |
79,395 |
— |
15:30 |
93.4°F |
77.2°F |
0.3 |
31% |
19:16 |
61%
|
88% |
| 24 |
72,828 |
— |
17:30 |
87.4°F |
76.0°F |
13.0 |
37% |
19:15 |
0%
|
0% |
| 25 |
71,659 |
— |
17:00 |
86.4°F |
71.3°F |
2.1 |
20% |
19:14 |
0%
|
0% |
| 26 |
72,207 |
— |
16:45 |
87.5°F |
69.2°F |
0.1 |
25% |
19:12 |
0%
|
0% |
| 27 |
70,680 |
— |
16:45 |
87.6°F |
68.9°F |
0.1 |
32% |
19:11 |
0%
|
0% |
| 28 |
68,805 |
— |
17:30 |
87.3°F |
67.5°F |
— |
55% |
19:10 |
0%
|
0% |
| 29 |
70,862 |
— |
16:45 |
86.7°F |
67.9°F |
0.0 |
76% |
19:09 |
0%
|
0% |
| 30 |
73,842 |
— |
17:15 |
90.2°F |
68.5°F |
0.1 |
30% |
19:07 |
0%
|
0% |
4CP Alerts Test Mode (daily SHUTDOWN/RESTART):
OFF
more tests
Weighted using same CITY_WEIGHTS as temperature (DFW/Houston/Austin etc.).
High wet bulb, low precip, low cloud = higher likelihood of high peak load.
Prob from MC model including these + temp + forecast.
On cloudy/rainy days the peak typically lands 20-40 min earlier.
Highest Actual, Projected, Avg Temp, and WetBulb highlighted in red.
Wetbulb/Precip/Cloud use same weights as temperature.