| Day |
Actual |
Projected |
Time |
Avg Temp |
WetBulb |
Precip |
Cloud |
Sunset |
4CP Prob |
P(>=today) |
| 1 |
82,835 |
83,537 |
16:15 |
97.3°F |
77.4°F |
1.3 |
32% |
20:14 |
0%
|
100% |
| 2 |
83,864 |
85,035 |
17:15 |
97.5°F |
75.6°F |
0.6 |
16% |
20:13 |
0%
|
100% |
| 3 |
86,751 |
87,942 |
16:30 |
99.0°F |
75.1°F |
0.2 |
12% |
20:12 |
1%
|
100% |
| 4 |
87,171 |
88,633 |
16:45 |
97.9°F |
77.1°F |
1.3 |
27% |
20:11 |
3%
|
100% |
| 5 |
86,651 |
88,576 |
16:15 |
97.8°F |
77.4°F |
0.3 |
23% |
20:11 |
3%
|
100% |
| 6 |
85,934 |
87,294 |
17:45 |
96.1°F |
77.6°F |
1.4 |
42% |
20:10 |
1%
|
100% |
| 7 |
86,886 |
88,206 |
16:30 |
97.2°F |
77.2°F |
1.0 |
46% |
20:09 |
2%
|
100% |
| 8 |
84,722 |
84,499 |
16:15 |
96.9°F |
76.2°F |
1.3 |
47% |
20:08 |
0%
|
100% |
| 9 |
85,162 |
85,191 |
16:45 |
95.0°F |
76.7°F |
2.1 |
60% |
20:07 |
0%
|
100% |
| 10 |
82,799 |
83,881 |
16:15 |
95.2°F |
76.7°F |
2.1 |
67% |
20:06 |
0%
|
100% |
| 11 |
86,406 |
88,461 |
15:30 |
96.1°F |
77.7°F |
1.0 |
36% |
20:06 |
2%
|
100% |
| 12 |
87,662 |
88,872 |
18:45 |
98.1°F |
78.0°F |
0.5 |
29% |
20:05 |
3%
|
100% |
| 13 |
87,468 |
89,283 |
16:45 |
99.6°F |
77.2°F |
0.5 |
32% |
20:04 |
5%
|
100% |
| 14 |
87,290 |
88,693 |
16:15 |
97.1°F |
77.4°F |
1.1 |
54% |
20:03 |
1%
|
100% |
| 15 |
87,439 |
88,985 |
16:15 |
98.1°F |
78.1°F |
0.5 |
35% |
20:02 |
1%
|
100% |
| 16 |
88,053 |
89,037 |
17:30 |
98.4°F |
76.0°F |
0.4 |
13% |
20:01 |
0%
|
100% |
| 17 |
89,258 |
90,378 |
16:45 |
100.0°F |
76.3°F |
0.3 |
13% |
20:00 |
3%
|
100% |
| 18 |
89,709 |
90,681 |
17:15 |
100.4°F |
75.8°F |
1.2 |
24% |
19:59 |
2%
|
100% |
| 19 |
89,289 |
90,887 |
16:45 |
100.1°F |
75.9°F |
0.1 |
55% |
19:58 |
3%
|
100% |
| 20 |
90,141 |
91,035 |
18:30 |
101.0°F |
77.1°F |
0.1 |
44% |
19:57 |
4%
|
100% |
| 21 |
89,719 |
90,369 |
16:45 |
100.9°F |
77.4°F |
0.1 |
53% |
19:56 |
2%
|
100% |
| 22 |
90,090 |
90,424 |
18:15 |
103.3°F |
76.9°F |
0.5 |
49% |
19:54 |
2%
|
100% |
| 23 |
90,513 |
90,084 |
18:15 |
102.8°F |
75.6°F |
0.1 |
28% |
19:53 |
1%
|
100% |
| 24 |
91,316 |
91,579 |
16:45 |
103.0°F |
75.4°F |
0.0 |
29% |
19:52 |
74%
|
95% |
| 25 |
89,962 |
88,662 |
17:15 |
101.2°F |
75.5°F |
0.3 |
23% |
19:51 |
0%
|
0% |
| 26 |
91,138 |
91,407 |
16:30 |
99.6°F |
76.9°F |
0.8 |
40% |
19:50 |
53%
|
53% |
| 27 |
89,753 |
92,071 |
16:45 |
96.4°F |
77.3°F |
3.5 |
46% |
19:49 |
81%
|
81% |
| 28 |
88,780 |
90,329 |
15:30 |
97.0°F |
76.8°F |
4.1 |
38% |
19:48 |
13%
|
13% |
| 29 |
88,271 |
89,008 |
17:00 |
97.8°F |
76.3°F |
0.2 |
28% |
19:46 |
0%
|
0% |
| 30 |
88,957 |
88,494 |
17:30 |
98.7°F |
76.3°F |
0.1 |
20% |
19:45 |
0%
|
0% |
| 31 |
88,689 |
89,339 |
16:45 |
96.7°F |
76.3°F |
1.0 |
42% |
19:44 |
1%
|
1% |
4CP Alerts Test Mode (daily SHUTDOWN/RESTART):
OFF
more tests
Weighted using same CITY_WEIGHTS as temperature (DFW/Houston/Austin etc.).
High wet bulb, low precip, low cloud = higher likelihood of high peak load.
Prob from MC model including these + temp + forecast.
On cloudy/rainy days the peak typically lands 20-40 min earlier.
Highest Actual, Projected, Avg Temp, and WetBulb highlighted in red.
Wetbulb/Precip/Cloud use same weights as temperature.