| Day |
Actual |
Projected |
Time |
Avg Temp |
WetBulb |
Precip |
Cloud |
Sunset |
4CP Prob |
P(>=today) |
| 1 |
81,529 |
— |
16:30 |
94.0°F |
77.0°F |
1.8 |
57% |
20:14 |
0%
|
100% |
| 2 |
75,615 |
— |
16:45 |
93.6°F |
77.0°F |
1.4 |
52% |
20:13 |
0%
|
100% |
| 3 |
77,695 |
— |
17:45 |
93.9°F |
77.4°F |
2.1 |
40% |
20:12 |
0%
|
100% |
| 4 |
76,498 |
— |
17:45 |
92.8°F |
76.8°F |
4.9 |
56% |
20:11 |
0%
|
100% |
| 5 |
80,993 |
— |
16:45 |
93.8°F |
75.9°F |
0.9 |
27% |
20:10 |
0%
|
100% |
| 6 |
81,260 |
— |
15:15 |
96.0°F |
76.5°F |
0.7 |
12% |
20:10 |
0%
|
100% |
| 7 |
82,274 |
— |
16:45 |
97.6°F |
77.0°F |
0.1 |
12% |
20:09 |
0%
|
100% |
| 8 |
82,537 |
— |
15:30 |
98.6°F |
76.6°F |
0.1 |
17% |
20:08 |
2%
|
100% |
| 9 |
82,050 |
— |
16:00 |
97.4°F |
76.4°F |
0.2 |
38% |
20:07 |
0%
|
100% |
| 10 |
81,552 |
— |
16:15 |
96.6°F |
75.9°F |
0.3 |
46% |
20:06 |
0%
|
100% |
| 11 |
82,014 |
— |
16:45 |
93.9°F |
76.1°F |
4.3 |
39% |
20:05 |
0%
|
100% |
| 12 |
81,421 |
— |
15:30 |
93.0°F |
76.7°F |
2.8 |
48% |
20:04 |
0%
|
100% |
| 13 |
81,627 |
— |
17:30 |
93.6°F |
77.1°F |
2.3 |
36% |
20:03 |
0%
|
100% |
| 14 |
82,472 |
— |
17:00 |
96.1°F |
77.6°F |
1.4 |
30% |
20:02 |
0%
|
100% |
| 15 |
81,318 |
— |
16:45 |
93.6°F |
77.8°F |
2.3 |
62% |
20:02 |
0%
|
100% |
| 16 |
79,663 |
— |
17:15 |
94.2°F |
77.5°F |
1.6 |
41% |
20:01 |
0%
|
100% |
| 17 |
81,912 |
— |
17:15 |
95.7°F |
77.6°F |
0.6 |
56% |
20:00 |
0%
|
100% |
| 18 |
83,987 |
— |
17:15 |
97.3°F |
77.0°F |
0.3 |
47% |
19:59 |
5%
|
100% |
| 19 |
82,432 |
— |
15:30 |
95.2°F |
77.2°F |
2.2 |
57% |
19:58 |
0%
|
99% |
| 20 |
80,063 |
— |
16:45 |
93.2°F |
77.1°F |
5.3 |
42% |
19:56 |
0%
|
97% |
| 21 |
79,567 |
— |
17:00 |
92.5°F |
77.1°F |
5.3 |
55% |
19:55 |
0%
|
94% |
| 22 |
77,682 |
— |
16:45 |
90.9°F |
75.6°F |
5.8 |
39% |
19:54 |
0%
|
92% |
| 23 |
77,673 |
— |
15:45 |
92.4°F |
75.1°F |
3.6 |
39% |
19:53 |
0%
|
82% |
| 24 |
82,212 |
— |
17:15 |
93.6°F |
74.8°F |
2.0 |
31% |
19:52 |
0%
|
64% |
| 25 |
82,742 |
— |
16:30 |
93.6°F |
74.4°F |
1.8 |
20% |
19:51 |
0%
|
28% |
| 26 |
77,813 |
— |
16:30 |
91.8°F |
75.4°F |
1.1 |
59% |
19:50 |
0%
|
26% |
| 27 |
80,418 |
— |
17:00 |
91.4°F |
76.7°F |
1.6 |
35% |
19:49 |
0%
|
22% |
| 28 |
83,428 |
— |
15:15 |
95.8°F |
76.9°F |
3.4 |
37% |
19:48 |
22%
|
22% |
| 29 |
76,668 |
— |
15:00 |
92.5°F |
77.0°F |
4.5 |
48% |
19:46 |
0%
|
0% |
| 30 |
71,676 |
— |
16:45 |
90.7°F |
76.7°F |
7.5 |
71% |
19:45 |
0%
|
0% |
| 31 |
66,704 |
— |
17:00 |
89.1°F |
76.6°F |
8.9 |
65% |
19:44 |
0%
|
0% |
4CP Alerts Test Mode (daily SHUTDOWN/RESTART):
OFF
more tests
Weighted using same CITY_WEIGHTS as temperature (DFW/Houston/Austin etc.).
High wet bulb, low precip, low cloud = higher likelihood of high peak load.
Prob from MC model including these + temp + forecast.
On cloudy/rainy days the peak typically lands 20-40 min earlier.
Highest Actual, Projected, Avg Temp, and WetBulb highlighted in red.
Wetbulb/Precip/Cloud use same weights as temperature.