| Day |
Actual |
Projected |
Time |
Avg Temp |
WetBulb |
Precip |
Cloud |
Sunset |
4CP Prob |
P(>=today) |
| 1 |
— |
— |
— |
68.5°F |
62.9°F |
35.9 |
96% |
19:58 |
0%
|
100% |
| 2 |
— |
— |
— |
72.9°F |
59.4°F |
0.3 |
33% |
19:58 |
0%
|
100% |
| 3 |
— |
— |
— |
77.8°F |
61.8°F |
— |
40% |
19:59 |
0%
|
100% |
| 4 |
— |
— |
— |
82.3°F |
68.5°F |
0.0 |
91% |
20:00 |
0%
|
100% |
| 5 |
— |
— |
— |
86.5°F |
73.3°F |
0.3 |
92% |
20:00 |
0%
|
100% |
| 6 |
— |
— |
— |
79.5°F |
69.6°F |
2.9 |
73% |
20:01 |
0%
|
100% |
| 7 |
— |
— |
— |
75.5°F |
64.7°F |
0.5 |
73% |
20:02 |
0%
|
100% |
| 8 |
— |
— |
— |
79.6°F |
70.8°F |
6.8 |
69% |
20:02 |
0%
|
100% |
| 9 |
— |
— |
— |
87.3°F |
73.3°F |
3.8 |
42% |
20:03 |
0%
|
100% |
| 10 |
— |
— |
— |
85.2°F |
73.4°F |
8.0 |
65% |
20:04 |
0%
|
100% |
| 11 |
— |
— |
— |
79.5°F |
68.0°F |
11.3 |
29% |
20:04 |
0%
|
100% |
| 12 |
— |
— |
— |
85.3°F |
68.5°F |
0.0 |
30% |
20:05 |
0%
|
100% |
| 13 |
72,775 |
— |
18:30 |
89.6°F |
70.3°F |
— |
12% |
20:06 |
0%
|
100% |
| 14 |
73,758 |
— |
17:15 |
90.5°F |
70.7°F |
0.1 |
41% |
20:06 |
0%
|
100% |
| 15 |
69,505 |
— |
15:45 |
90.4°F |
72.0°F |
0.1 |
87% |
20:07 |
0%
|
100% |
| 16 |
69,779 |
— |
17:45 |
89.3°F |
72.4°F |
0.3 |
53% |
20:07 |
0%
|
100% |
| 17 |
68,381 |
— |
17:15 |
88.6°F |
75.4°F |
4.2 |
82% |
20:08 |
0%
|
100% |
| 18 |
75,785 |
— |
17:15 |
89.9°F |
76.3°F |
6.0 |
58% |
20:09 |
0%
|
100% |
| 19 |
68,085 |
— |
15:15 |
84.8°F |
75.6°F |
15.1 |
82% |
20:09 |
0%
|
100% |
| 20 |
63,955 |
— |
17:45 |
79.8°F |
71.2°F |
15.8 |
73% |
20:10 |
0%
|
100% |
| 21 |
59,950 |
— |
17:30 |
78.7°F |
71.5°F |
18.2 |
85% |
20:10 |
0%
|
100% |
| 22 |
70,989 |
— |
16:15 |
84.7°F |
73.0°F |
7.1 |
71% |
20:11 |
0%
|
100% |
| 23 |
60,281 |
— |
17:30 |
81.8°F |
72.6°F |
13.0 |
64% |
20:12 |
0%
|
99% |
| 24 |
66,937 |
— |
15:45 |
84.3°F |
72.7°F |
2.6 |
56% |
20:12 |
0%
|
94% |
| 25 |
68,559 |
— |
16:15 |
85.9°F |
72.7°F |
1.7 |
44% |
20:13 |
0%
|
88% |
| 26 |
69,921 |
— |
17:30 |
84.1°F |
72.9°F |
10.8 |
67% |
20:13 |
0%
|
90% |
| 27 |
61,099 |
— |
18:15 |
80.1°F |
72.2°F |
17.6 |
77% |
20:14 |
0%
|
90% |
| 28 |
72,758 |
— |
17:15 |
86.3°F |
74.3°F |
1.8 |
43% |
20:15 |
0%
|
91% |
| 29 |
76,934 |
— |
17:15 |
88.8°F |
75.5°F |
0.3 |
44% |
20:15 |
2%
|
94% |
| 30 |
73,084 |
— |
17:30 |
90.4°F |
75.4°F |
0.2 |
48% |
20:16 |
0%
|
64% |
| 31 |
75,996 |
— |
17:15 |
91.9°F |
75.7°F |
0.1 |
39% |
20:16 |
63%
|
63% |
4CP Alerts Test Mode (daily SHUTDOWN/RESTART):
OFF
more tests
Weighted using same CITY_WEIGHTS as temperature (DFW/Houston/Austin etc.).
High wet bulb, low precip, low cloud = higher likelihood of high peak load.
Prob from MC model including these + temp + forecast.
On cloudy/rainy days the peak typically lands 20-40 min earlier.
Highest Actual, Projected, Avg Temp, and WetBulb highlighted in red.
Wetbulb/Precip/Cloud use same weights as temperature.