| Day |
Actual |
Projected |
Time |
Avg Temp |
WetBulb |
Precip |
Cloud |
Sunset |
4CP Prob |
P(>=today) |
| 1 |
63,261 |
62,081 |
15:30 |
80.7°F |
72.7°F |
— |
36% |
17:34 |
0%
|
100% |
| 2 |
66,197 |
66,300 |
16:15 |
83.2°F |
72.5°F |
2.1 |
50% |
17:33 |
0%
|
100% |
| 3 |
60,249 |
59,953 |
15:15 |
77.6°F |
69.6°F |
10.1 |
22% |
17:32 |
0%
|
100% |
| 4* |
— |
57,135 |
15:00 |
76.1°F |
62.3°F |
— |
9% |
17:32 |
0%
|
100% |
| 5 |
— |
59,387 |
15:00 |
75.6°F |
63.9°F |
0.2 |
66% |
17:31 |
0%
|
100% |
| 6 |
— |
55,698 |
15:00 |
76.8°F |
61.9°F |
0.8 |
52% |
17:30 |
0%
|
100% |
| 7 |
— |
51,990 |
18:00 |
68.9°F |
59.5°F |
5.4 |
93% |
17:30 |
0%
|
100% |
| 8 |
— |
51,422 |
18:00 |
64.5°F |
58.5°F |
9.1 |
79% |
17:29 |
0%
|
100% |
| 9 |
— |
53,244 |
18:00 |
69.3°F |
54.7°F |
0.1 |
1% |
17:28 |
0%
|
100% |
| 10 |
— |
53,639 |
18:00 |
73.6°F |
55.4°F |
— |
11% |
17:28 |
0%
|
100% |
| 11 |
— |
54,915 |
18:00 |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
0%
|
100% |
| 12 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
100% |
| 13 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
95% |
| 14 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
90% |
| 15 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
84% |
| 16 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
79% |
| 17 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
73% |
| 18 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
68% |
| 19 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
63% |
| 20 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
58% |
| 21 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
52% |
| 22 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
48% |
| 23 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
43% |
| 24 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
37% |
| 25 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
32% |
| 26 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
26% |
| 27 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
21% |
| 28 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
16% |
| 29 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
10% |
| 30 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
5% |
4CP Alerts Test Mode (daily SHUTDOWN/RESTART):
OFF
more tests
Weighted using same CITY_WEIGHTS as temperature (DFW/Houston/Austin etc.).
High wet bulb, low precip, low cloud = higher likelihood of high peak load.
Prob from MC model including these + temp + forecast.
On cloudy/rainy days the peak typically lands 20-40 min earlier.
Highest Actual, Projected, Avg Temp, and WetBulb highlighted in red.
Wetbulb/Precip/Cloud use same weights as temperature.