| Day |
Actual |
Projected |
Time |
Avg Temp |
WetBulb |
Precip |
Cloud |
Sunset |
4CP Prob |
P(>=today) |
| 1 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
100% |
| 2 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
97% |
| 3 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
94% |
| 4 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
91% |
| 5 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
88% |
| 6 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
84% |
| 7 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
81% |
| 8 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
78% |
| 9 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
75% |
| 10 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
72% |
| 11 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
69% |
| 12 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
66% |
| 13 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
62% |
| 14 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
59% |
| 15 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
56% |
| 16 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
52% |
| 17 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
49% |
| 18 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
46% |
| 19 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
42% |
| 20 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
39% |
| 21 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
35% |
| 22 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
32% |
| 23 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
29% |
| 24 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
26% |
| 25 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
22% |
| 26 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
18% |
| 27 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
15% |
| 28 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
12% |
| 29 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
9% |
| 30 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
6% |
| 31 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
—°F |
— |
—% |
— |
10%
|
3% |
4CP Alerts Test Mode (daily SHUTDOWN/RESTART):
OFF
more tests
Weighted using same CITY_WEIGHTS as temperature (DFW/Houston/Austin etc.).
High wet bulb, low precip, low cloud = higher likelihood of high peak load.
Prob from MC model including these + temp + forecast.
On cloudy/rainy days the peak typically lands 20-40 min earlier.
Highest Actual, Projected, Avg Temp, and WetBulb highlighted in red.
Wetbulb/Precip/Cloud use same weights as temperature.